Projected number of extreme heatwaves (RCP 8.5; 2020-2052)

Under the RCP8.5 scenario, very extreme heat waves ([10]) (much stronger than either the 2003 or the 2010 heat waves) are projected to occur as often as every two years in the second half of the 21st century (Figure 2). The projected frequency of heat waves is greatest in southern and south-eastern Europe. Russo, Simone, Alessandro Dosio, Rune G. Graversen, Jana Sillmann, Hugo Carrao, Martha B. Dunbar, Andrew Singleton, Paolo Montagna, Paulo Barbola, and Jürgen V. Vogt. Magnitude of Extreme Heat Waves in Present Climate and Their Projection in a Warming World, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres119, no. 22 (November 27, 2014): 12500–512. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JD022098.