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Indicator Assessment
The total production and consumption of ozone depleting substances in EEA member countries has decreased significantly since the Montreal Protocol was signed in 1987 - nowadays it is practically zero. Globally, the implementation of the Montreal Protocol has led to a decrease in the atmospheric burden of ozone-depleting substances (ODSs) in the lower atmosphere and in the stratosphere.
Many of the ODS are also potent greenhouse gases in their own right, but as they are governed through the Montreal Protocol, they are not separately regulated under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Thus the phasing out of ODS under the Montreal Protocol has also avoided global greenhouse gas emissions. In 2010, it has been estimated that the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions achieved under the Montreal Protocol was 5 to 6 times larger than that which will result from the UNFCCC's Kyoto Protocol first commitment period, 2008-2012.
Consumption and production of ozone-depleting substances has decreased significantly in the 32 EEA member countries, particularly in the first half of the 1990s. It is nowadays practically zero [1]. Before the UNEP Montreal Protocol was signed in 1987, the ODS production across the EEA member countries exceeded half a million ODP (ozone depletion potential) tonnes. Since 2007, ODS production has been negative [2]. ODS consumption in EEA member countries fall from approximately 423 000 ODP tonnes in 1986 to negative values in 2002 [3] (see Figures 1 and 2). Since 2002, values have been negative, except for years 2003 and 2006. The value in 2011 was approximately -1300 ODP tonnes.
Globally, the 1987 Montreal Protocol is widely recognised as one of the most successful multilateral environmental agreements to date. Its implementation has led to a decrease in the atmospheric burden of ozone-depleting substances (ODSs) in the lower atmosphere and in the stratosphere. The schedule for the limitation and phase-out of production and consumption of ODS as defined in the Montreal Protocol is summarised in the Indicator Specification.
According to the 2010 assessment reports from UNEP’s Scientific, Environmental and Technology and Economic Assessment Panels under the Montreal Protocol, ozone depletion also influences climate change since both ozone and the compounds responsible for its depletion are potent greenhouse gases. The implementation of the Montreal Protocol has therefore indirectly led to a stark reduction in emissions of these greenhouse gases, such as chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), which are outside the remits of the UNFCCC’s Kyoto Protocol. The reduction in GWP-weighted ODS emissions expected as a result of compliance with the Montreal Protocol has been estimated globally at 10-12 Gt CO2-eq per year in 2010 (Velders et al. 2007). In contrast, the reduction of greenhouse gases under the Kyoto Protocol (assuming full compliance by all developed countries) is estimated at 1-2 Gt CO2-eq on average per year between 2008 and 2012, compared to base year emissions. The phasing out of climate-changing ODS under the Montreal Protocol has therefore avoided greenhouse gas emissions by an amount 5-6 times larger than the target of the Kyoto Protocol for 2008-2012.
UNEP’s Assessments also concluded there are various options to achieve a global recovery in the ozone layer (i.e. returning to pre-1980 levels). These include addressing the strong growth in the production and consumption of hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) in developing countries, and the immediate collection and safe disposal of large quantities of ODS contained in old equipment and buildings (the so-called ODS ‘banks’). Such ODS banks have a very significant ozone-depleting and global warming potential.
At the EU level, the Regulation on substances that deplete the ozone layer (1005/2009/EC as amended by 744/2010/EU), which in many aspects goes further than the Montreal Protocol, also brings forward the general production phase-out of HCFCs from 2020 to 2010.
The projected recovery of the ozone layer is sensitive to future levels of greenhouse gases and the associated changes in climate. Climate change will influence the exposure of all living organisms to UV-B radiation via changes in cloudiness, precipitation, and ice cover. In addition, the concentrations of HCFCs continue to increase in the atmosphere. Given these interlinkages, the international efforts to safeguard the earth’s climate (e.g. UNFCCC and its Kyoto Protocol) and protect the ozone layer (Montreal Protocol) can be mutually supportive. In 2007, governments from developed and developing countries agreed to freeze production of HCFCs in developing countries by 2013 and bring forward the final phase-out date of these chemicals by ten years in both developed and developing countries (Montreal/Nairobi, 22 September 2007). This has been referred to as a historic agreement to tackle the challenges of protecting the ozone layer and combating climate change at the same time. However, while HCFCs have largely replaced CFCs in both developed and developing countries, in many HCFC applications there is now a gradual replacement with hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), which, although not ozone-depleting, are potent greenhouse gases. Therefore, growth in HFC use and emissions will offset at least part of the climate benefits already achieved by the Montreal Protocol (Velders et al., 2009).
The depth and area of the ozone hole over Antarctica remains, with a larger depletion in 2011 compared to the one in 2009 and 2010 [4]. Between 7 September and 13 October of 2011, the average ozone-hole area reached 25 million square kilometres, with a daily maximum of 26 million square kilometres (Figure 3) - equivalent to about 6 times the territory of the EU. According to UNEP’s 2010 Assessment, failure to comply with the Montreal Protocol and the continuation of agreed exemptions could delay or even prevent the recovery of the ozone layer – with additional implications for climate change.
The 2010 report by the Scientific Assessment Panel of the Montreal Protocol concludes the Antarctic ozone hole provides the most visible example of how ozone depletion affects surface climate, leading to important changes in surface temperature and wind patterns. Overall, there is stronger evidence of the effect of stratospheric ozone changes on the earth’s surface climate, and also of the effects of climate change on stratospheric ozone. Increasing abundances of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane are expected to significantly affect future stratospheric ozone through effects on temperature, winds, and chemistry. The report also highlights the substantial co-benefits between the protection of the ozone layer and climate change and presents a number of options for policy makers.
[1] Calculated production and/or consumption may be zero even if there is still production for feedstock uses (where ODS are entirely used in the manufactured of other chemicals), or for exports to countries where the ODS phase-out is not completed (see footnote 2).
[2] Production of ODS was negative for the years 2007 to 2011. Negative values are possible because ‘production’ is defined under Article 1(5) of the Montreal Protocol as production minus the amount destroyed minus the amount entirely used as feedstock in the manufacture of other chemicals. Therefore, calculated production may be negative if destroyed amounts and/or feedstocks (e.g. from a carry-over stock) exceed production. Consumption is defined as production plus imports minus exports of controlled substances under the Montreal Protocol. As with calculated production, the consumption of ODS can be negative, also because exports in any one year can exceed production and imports if ODS have been stockpiled.
[3] Consumption is defined as production plus imports minus exports of controlled substances under the Montreal Protocol. As with calculated production, the consumption of ODS can be negative.
[4] The ozone-hole area is determined from total ozone satellite measurements. It is defined to be that region of ozone values below 220 Dobson Units (DU) located south of 40°S.
This indicator quantifies the production and consumption of ozone-depleting substances (ODS) in Europe. ODS are long-lived chemicals that contain chlorine or/and bromine and that destroy the stratospheric ozone layer.
Tonnes of ODS weighted by their Ozone Depletion Potential (ODP).
Following agreement of the Vienna convention (1985) and the Montreal protocol (1987) and its subsequent amendments and adjustments, policy measures have been taken to limit or phase-out production and consumption of ozone depleting substances in order to protect the stratospheric ozone layer against depletion. This indicator tracks progress towards this limiting or phasing-out production and consumption of ODS.
For the European Union, the ratification rates were the following:
Treaty |
Date of Ratification |
---|---|
17 Oct 1988 |
|
16 Dec 1988 |
|
20 Dec 1991 |
|
20 Nov 1995 |
|
17 Nov 2000 |
|
25 Mar 2002 |
The international target under the Ozone Conventions and Protocols is the complete phase-out of ODS, according to the schedule below.
Countries falling under Article 5, paragraph 1 of the Montreal Protocol are considered as developing countries under the protocol. Phase-out schedules for Article 5(1) countries are delayed by 10 - 20 years as compared to non-article 5(1) countries.
Montreal protocol | EEA member ountries |
---|---|
article 5(1) | Cyprus, Malta, Romania and Turkey |
non-article 5(1) | all other EEA member countries |
Summary of phase-out schedule for non-article 5(1) countries, including Beijing adjustments.
Group | Phase-out schedule for non-article 5(1) countries | Remark |
---|---|---|
Annex-A, group 1: CFCs (CFC-11, CFC-12, CFC-113, CFC-114, CFC-115) | Base level: 1986 100% reduction by 1-1-1996 (with possible essential use exemptions) | Applicable to production and consumption |
Annex A, group 2: Halons (halon 1211, halon 1301, halon 2402) | Base level: 1986 100% reduction by 1-1-1994 (with possible essential use exemptions) | Applicable to production and consumption |
Annex B, group 1: Other fully halogenated CFCs (CFC-13, CFC-111, CFC-112, CFC-211, CFC-212, CFC-213, CFC-214, CFC-215, CFC-216, CFC-217) | Base level: 1989 100% reduction by 1-1-1996 (with possible essential use exemptions) | Applicable to production and consumption |
Annex B, group 2: Carbontetrachloride (CCl4) | Base level: 1989 100% reduction by 1-1-1996 (with possible essential use exemptions) | Applicable to production and consumption |
Annex B, group 3: 1,1,1-trichloroethane (CH3CCl3) (=methyl chloroform) | Base level: 1989 100% reduction by 1-1-1996 (with possible essential use exemptions) | Applicable to production and consumption |
Annex C, group 1: HCFCs (HydroChloroFluoroCarbons) | Base level: 1989 HCFC consumption + 2.8 % of 1989 CFC consumption Freeze: 1996 35 % reduction by 1-1-2004 65 % reduction by 1-1-2010 90 % reduction by 1-1-2015 99.5 % reduction by 1-1-2020, and thereafter consumption restricted to the servicing of refrigeration and air-conditioning equipment existing at that date. 100 % reduction by 1-1-2030 | Applicable to consumption |
Base level: Average of 1989 HCFC production + 2.8 % of 1989 CFC production and 1989 HCFC consumption + 2.8 % of 1989 CFC consumption Freeze: 1-1-2004, at the base level for production | Applicable to production | |
Annex C, group 2: HBFCs (HydroBromoFluoroCarbons) | Base level: year not specified. 100% reduction by 1-1-1996 (with possible essential use exemptions) | Applicable to production and consumption |
Annex C, group 3: Bromochloromethane (CH2BrCl) | Base level: year not specified. 100% reduction by 1-1-2002 (with possible essential use exemptions) | Applicable to production and consumption |
Annex E, group 1: Methyl bromide (CH3Br) | Base level: 1991 Freeze: 1-1-1995 25 % reduction by 1-1-1999 50 % reduction by 1-1-2001 75 % reduction by 1-1-2003 100 % reduction by 1-1-2005 (with possible essential use exemptions) | Applicable to production and consumption |
The indicator presents production and consumption in units of tonnes of ODS, which is the amount of ODS produced or consumed, multiplied by their respective ozone depleting potential value. The UNEP - Ozone secretariat data are already provided in tonnes of Ozone Depleting Potential (ODP tonnes). All data can be downloaded from http://ozone.unep.org/Data_Access/
How is production and consumption calculated?
http://ozone.unep.org/Frequently_Asked_Questions/faqs_compliance.shtml
Calculation formulae are defined by Articles 1 and 3 of the Montreal Protocol.
Simple definition:
Consumption = Production + Imports - Exports
Subtract Destroyed amounts
Subtract Feedstock Uses
Exclude Quarantine and Pre-shipment applications for methyl bromide
Include Exports to non-Parties as consumption
Parties report each of the above components annually to the Ozone Secretariat in the official data reporting forms. The Parties do not, however, make the above subtractions and other calculations themselves. The Ozone Secretariat performs this task
Calculated Production = (Production - Feedstock Production - Feedstock Exports - Quarantine Production) - Destroyed
Calculated Consumption = (Production - Feedstock Production - Quarantine Production) + (Imports - Feedstock Imports - Quarantine Imports) - (Exports - Quarantine Exports) - Destroyed + Non Party Exports
Parties that only import ozone-depleting substances, ODS, (that is, they do not produce ODS, use ODS for feedstock, destroy ODS or re-export ODS) will usually have zero annual calculated production of ODS, and their annual calculated consumption will be equal to their imports.
(Feedstock Production is only for internal use)
(Quarantine Production is both for internal use and for export)
No gap filling takes place.
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Policies focuses on the production and consumption of ODS rather than emissions. The reason is that emissions from multiple small sources are much more difficult to monitor accurately than industrial production and consumption. Consumption is the driver for industrial production. Production and consumption can precede emissions by many years, as emissions typically take place after disposal of products in which ODS are used (fire-extinguishers, refrigerators, etc.).
For references, please go to https://eea.europa.eu./data-and-maps/indicators/production-and-consumption-of-ozone/production-and-consumption-of-ozone-4 or scan the QR code.
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