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Indicator Assessment
[1] Emissions data reported by EU member states under NECD is used for comparison with NECD ceilings, and data reported under CLRTAP is used for all other calculations unless otherwise stated.
Emission trends of sulphur oxides (EEA member countries, EU-27 Member States)
Distance-to-target for EEA member countries
Note: The distance-to-target indicator shows how current NMVOC emissions compare to a linear emission reduction 'target-path' between 2010 emission levels and the 2020 emission ceiling for each country. Negative percentage values indicate the current emissions in a country are below the linear target path; positive values show that current emission lie above a linear target path to 2020.
Significant progress in reducing SOX emissions has been made by many countries; EEA-32 emissions of SOX have decreased by 75% between 1990 and 2010. Within the EEA-32 group of countries, all have reported lower emissions in 2010 compared to 1990 except Iceland (3.6 times greater), Hungary (3.4 times greater) and Turkey (2.0 times greater). The large apparent magnitudes of these increases in Turkey and Hungary are due to the inclusion in 2010 reports of emissions from sectors which were not reported in 1990; for example, only 'Industrial processes' emissions are reported in CRF data from Hungary in 1990, whilst in 2010 LRTAP submissions emissions are reported in the majority of sectors.
The large increase in SOX emissions in Iceland, from 20 kt in 1990 to 72 kt in 2010, is due chiefly to the reported emissions from the 'Energy production and distribution' sector rising by 45 kt since 1990. This sector alone now contributes 14% of Iceland's total emissions in 2010. These emissions are mostly comprised of emissions from activities related to fugitive emissions from the 'other energy extraction' sector, which includes geothermal energy production, many of these would occur naturally but are included in Iceland's emission total due to their use in energy generation.
All of the EU-27 Member States have reduced their national SOX emissions below the level of the 2010 emission ceilings set in the National Emission Ceilings Directive (NECD).
Iceland, Lichtenstein, Norway, Switzerland and Turkey are not members of the European Union and hence have no emission ceilings set under the NECD. However, Norway and Switzerland have ratified the UNECE LRTAP Convention's Gothenburg Protocol, requiring them to reduce their emissions to the agreed ceiling specified in the protocol by 2010. Liechtenstein has also signed, but not ratified the protocol. All three countries have reported that emissions in 2010 were lower than their respective 2010 Gothenburg Protocol ceilings.
The NECD protocol is currently being reviewed, as part of the implementation of the Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution, but a proposal for a revised directive is presently on hold until 2013. A revision of the Gothenburg protocol was published in June 2012, and proposed percentage emission reductions from 2005 levels to be met by 2020 for the four already regulated substances (NOX, NMVOC, SO2 and NH3) and in addition for primary emissions of PM2.5. Existing emission ceilings for 2010 have been extended to 2020 such that all countries have additional obligations to maintain emission levels below their 2010 ceilings, or to further reduce emissions if they have not yet met these ceilings.
Eight of the EU-27 Member States have already met the 2020 targets proposed under the Gothenburg protocol, and all of the remaining countries except four (Lithuania, Finland, Estonia and Sweden) are on track to reduce emissions to their ceiling by or before 2020.
Of the five non-EU countries within the EEA-32, only Norway and Switzerland have 2020 targets proposed under the Gothenburg protocol. Both of these countries reported emissions in 2010 which were lower than their 2020 emission ceilings.
Substantial SOX emission reductions have been made across a number of sectors including: 'Road transport' (a 99% reduction between 1990 and 2010), 'Waste' (81%), 'Energy production and distribution' (75%) and 'Energy use in industry' (66%).
The 'Energy production and distribution' sector (encompassing activities such as power and heat generation) is responsible for the largest reduction in absolute terms of emissions, contributing 57% of the total reduction in SOX emissions reported by countries. Nevertheless, despite this significant reduction, this single sector remains the most significant source of SOX in the EEA-32 region, contributing over half of total SOX emissions. Across Europe there is also an increasing awareness of the contribution made to SOX emissions by national and international ship traffic, and especially the health effects of such emissions whilst at berth (a more detailed discussion of this issue is contained in the TERM indicator fact sheet TERM03 - Transport emissions of air pollutants). From 1st January 2010 all ships using fuel at berth in EU ports for significant periods were required to use exclusively low-sulphur fuel (0.1%), and from 1st July 2010, within SECAs (Sulphur Emission Control Areas) defined in the North Sea, English Channel and Baltic Sea, all ships were required to use fuel with sulphur content not exceeding 1.0%. EEA32 countries have reported a reduction in emissions from national navigation (shipping) of 9.5% between 2009 and 2010, and further reductions in later years may be expected as additional legislation comes into force.
A combination of measures has led to the reductions in SOX emissions. This includes fuel-switching from high-sulphur solid (e.g. coal) and liquid (e.g. heavy fuel oil) fuels to low sulphur fuels (such as natural gas) for power and heat production purposes within the energy, industry and domestic sectors, improvements in energy efficiency, and the installation of flue gas desulphurisation equipment in new and existing industrial facilities. The implementation of several directives within the EU limiting the sulphur content of fuel has also contributed to the decrease.
The newer Member States of the European Union have in a number of cases also undergone significant economic structural changes since the early 1990s which have led to a general decline in certain activities which previously contributed significantly to high levels of sulphur emissions (e.g. heavy industry) and the closure of older inefficient power plants.
ktonnes (1000 tonnes)
A number of policies have been implemented within Europe that either directly or indirectly act to reduce emissions of SO2. These include:
Emissions of SO2 are covered by the EU National Emission Ceilings Directive (NECD) (2001/81/EC) and the Gothenburg protocol under the United Nations Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution (LRTAP Convention) (UNECE 1999). The NECD generally involves slightly stricter emission reduction targets than the Gothenburg Protocol for EU-15 Member States for the period 1990-2010. The Gothenburg Protocol entered into force on 17 May 2005, after ratification by 16 countries early in 2005. The 2012 revision to the Gothenburg protocol proposed emission reduction targets for 2020 relative to 2005 reported emissions for all EU-27 Member States and some EEA-32 non-EU member states.
Table: 2010 SO2 ceilings under the NEC Directive and the Gothenburg Protocol (kt)
Country |
2010 NECD |
2010 CLRTAP Gothenburg Protocol ceilings |
2020 CLRTAP Gothenburg Protocol ceilings |
Austria | 39 | 39 | 62 |
Belgium | 99 | 106 | 70 |
Bulgaria | 836 | 856 | 58 |
Cyprus | 39 | N/A | 5 |
Czech Republic | 265 | 283 | 76 |
Denmark | 55 | 55 | 63 |
Estonia | 100 | N/A | 10 |
Finland | 110 | 116 | 31 |
France | 375 | 400 | 635 |
Germany | 520 | 550 | 544 |
Greece | 523 | 546 | 63 |
Hungary | 500 | 550 | 72 |
Iceland* | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Ireland | 42 | 42 | 108 |
Italy | 475 | 500 | 395 |
Latvia | 101 | 107 | 16 |
Liechtenstein | N/A | 0.11 | N/A |
Lithuania | 145 | 145 | 35 |
Luxembourg | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Malta | 9 | N/A | 2 |
Netherlands | 50 | 50 | 123 |
Norway | N/A | 22 | 21 |
Poland | 1397 | 1397 | 267 |
Portugal | 160 | 170 | 47 |
Romania | 918 | 918 | 173 |
Slovakia | 110 | 110 | 25 |
Slovenia | 27 | 27 | 18 |
Spain | 746 | 774 | 354 |
Switzerland | N/A | 26 | 59 |
Sweden | 67 | 67 | 47 |
Turkey* | N/A | N/A | N/A |
United Kingdom | 585 | 625 | 282 |
* Iceland and Turkey do not have a ceiling under either the NEC Directive or the Gothenburg protocol.
This indicator is based on officially reported national total and sectoral emissions to the EEA and UNECE/EMEP (United Nations Economic Commission for Europe/Co-operative programme for monitoring and evaluation of the long-range transmission of air pollutants in Europe) Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution (LRTAP Convention), submission 2011. For the EU-27 Member States, the data used is consistent with the emissions data reported by the EU in its annual submission to the LRTAP Convention.
Recommended methodologies for emission inventory estimation are compiled in the EMEP/EEA Air Pollutant Emission Inventory Guidebook, (EMEP/EEA, 2009). Base data are available from the EEA Data Service (http://dataservice.eea.europa.eu/dataservice/metadetails.asp?id=1096) and the EMEP web site (http://www.ceip.at/). Where necessary, gaps in reported data are filled by European Topic Centre/EEA using simple interpolation techniques (see below). The final gap-filled data used in this indicator is available from the EEA Data Service (http://dataservice.eea.europa.eu/PivotApp/pivot.aspx?pivotid=478)
Base data, reported in the UNECE/EMEP Nomenclature for Reporting (NFR) sector format are aggregated into the following EEA sector codes to obtain a consistent reporting format across all countries and pollutants:
The following table shows the conversion of Nomenclature for Reporting (NFR) sector codes used for reporting by countries into EEA sector codes:
EEA classification |
Non-GHGs (NFR) |
|
National totals |
National total |
|
Energy production and distribution |
1A1, 1A3e, 1B |
|
Energy use in industry |
1A2 |
|
Road Transport |
1A3b |
|
Non-road transport (non-road mobile machinery) |
1A3 (excl. 1A3b) |
|
Industrial processes |
2 |
|
Solvent and product use |
3 |
|
Agriculture |
4 |
|
Waste |
6 |
|
Commercial, institutional and households |
1A4ai, 1A4aii, 1A4bi, 1A4bii, 1A4ci, 1A4cii, 1A5a, 1A5b |
|
Other |
7 |
|
An improved gap-filling methodology was implemented in 2010 that enables a complete time series trend for the main air pollutants (eg NOX, SOX, NMVOC, NH3 and CO) to be compiled. In cases where countries did not report emissions for any year, it meant that gap-filling could not be applied. For these pollutants, therefore, the aggregated data is not yet complete and is likely to underestimate true emissions. Further methodological details of the gap-filling procedure are provided in section 1.4.2 'Data gaps and gap-filling' of the European Union emission inventory report 1990–2009 under the UNECE Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution (LRTAP).
The use of gap-filling when countries have not reported emissions for one or more years can potentially lead to artificial trends, but it is considered unavoidable if a comprehensive and comparable set of emissions data for European countries is required for policy analysis purposes.
SO2 emission estimates in Europe are thought to have an uncertainty of about ±10% as the sulphur comes from the fuel burnt and therefore can be accurately estimated. However, because of the need for interpolation to account for missing data, the complete dataset used will have higher uncertainty. EMEP has compared modelled and measured concentrations throughout Europe (EMEP 2010). From these studies, differences in the annual averages have been estimated to be ±30%, which is consistent with an inventory uncertainty of ±10% (there are also uncertainties in the measurements and especially the modelling). The trend is likely to be much more accurate than individual absolute values
Overall scoring: (1-3, 1=no major problems, 3=major reservations)
This indicator is regularly updated by the EEA and is used in state of the environment assessments. The uncertainties related to methodology and data sets are therefore of importance. Any uncertainties involved in the calculation and in the data sets need to be accurately communicated in the assessment, to prevent erroneous messages influencing policy actions or processes.
For references, please go to https://eea.europa.eu./data-and-maps/indicators/eea-32-sulphur-dioxide-so2-emissions-1/assessment-2 or scan the QR code.
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