Simulated change in water-limited wheat production

The figure shows the simulated change in water-limited wheat production for 2030 compared with 2000 for the A1B emission scenario using a cold (ECHAM5) (left) and a warm (HADCM3) (right) climate change projection.
The simulation was performed on a 25x25 km grid (assuming current area of wheat cropping) but the results are presented here at the NUTS-2 level.

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Methodology

Donatelli, M., Duveiller, G., Fumagalli, D., Srivastava, A., Zucchini, A., Angileri, V., Fasbender, D., Loudjani, P., Kay, S., Juskevicius, V., Toth, T., Haastrup, P., M’barek, R., Espinosa, M., Ciaian, P. and Niemeyer, S., 2012, Assessing agriculture vulnerabilities for the design of effective measures for adaption to climate change (AVEMAC project), European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Luxembourg.

Units

Tons

External links, non EEA websites

http://mars.jrc.ec.europa.eu/mars/Projects/AVEMAC

Additional information

An impact assessment of climate change scenarios on agriculture was run covering EU27, being centred on time horizons centred on the years 2020 and 2030, in comparison to the baseline centred on the year 2000.

Simulated change in water-limited wheat production

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References and footnotes