Additional number of days per year with high-to-extreme fire danger
Map (static)
Additional number of days per year with high-to-extreme fire danger by weather (daily Fire Weather Index≥30), compared with the situation in the reference time period 1981-2010, for different levels of global warming. Median ensemble of five model-statistics (see recommended References).
Additional number of days per year with high-to-extreme fire danger by weather (daily Fire Weather Index≥30) for different levels of global warming compared to the reference time (1981-2010). Median ensemble of five model-statistics (see References, Tables 3-4 in [1], and Table 3 in [2], highlighted cells).The maps are reprojected in EPSG:3035 (ETRS89 LAEA) while the original data are under a rotated-pole projection, as specified in the standard EURO-CORDEX grid.
Reference time period: 1981-2010. Given the ensemble of models required for a robust analysis, no single time period can be associated to different levels of global warming. The maximum extent of time ranges in the underpinning asyncrhonous models, for each global-warming level (compared with the reference time period, see References): +1.5°C: 2007-2044 +2.0°C: 2016-2059 +3.0°C: 2037-2082
References:
[1] de Rigo, D., Libertà, G., Houston Durrant, T., Artés Vivancos, T., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., 2017. Forest fire danger extremes in Europe under climate change: variability and uncertainty. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 71 pp. ISBN: 978-92-79-77046-3 , https://doi.org/10.2760/13180 [2] Costa, H., de Rigo, D., Libertà, G., Houston Durrant, T., San-Miguel-Ayanz, J., 2020. European wildfire danger and vulnerability in a changing climate: towards integrating risk dimensions. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 59 pp. ISBN: 978-92-76-16898-0 , https://doi.org/10.2760/46951
