Year
|
Historical data
|
Historical estimates
|
Medium fertility
|
Medium fertility scenario
|
High fertility
|
High fertility scenario
|
Low fertility
|
Low fertility scenario
|
Constant fertility
|
Constant fertility scenario
|
Instant-replacement
|
Instant replacement scenario
|
Constant-mortality
|
Constant mortality scenario
|
No change
|
No change scenario
|
1950
|
|
2.526
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1951
|
|
2.573
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1952
|
|
2.619
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1953
|
|
2.666
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1954
|
|
2.713
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1955
|
|
2.762
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1956
|
|
2.812
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1957
|
|
2.863
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1958
|
|
2.916
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1959
|
|
2.97
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1960
|
|
3.026
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1961
|
|
3.083
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1962
|
|
3.141
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1963
|
|
3.201
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1964
|
|
3.264
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1965
|
|
3.329
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1966
|
|
3.397
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1967
|
|
3.469
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1968
|
|
3.542
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1969
|
|
3.616
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1970
|
|
3.691
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1971
|
|
3.767
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1972
|
|
3.843
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1973
|
|
3.919
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1974
|
|
3.995
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1975
|
|
4.071
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1976
|
|
4.146
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1977
|
|
4.221
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1978
|
|
4.296
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1979
|
|
4.372
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1980
|
|
4.449
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1981
|
|
4.528
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1982
|
|
4.609
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1983
|
|
4.692
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1984
|
|
4.776
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1985
|
|
4.864
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1986
|
|
4.953
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1987
|
|
5.045
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1988
|
|
5.138
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1989
|
|
5.23
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1990
|
|
5.321
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1991
|
|
5.409
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1992
|
|
5.495
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1993
|
|
5.579
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1994
|
|
5.661
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1995
|
|
5.742
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1996
|
|
5.821
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1997
|
|
5.899
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1998
|
|
5.975
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1999
|
|
6.051
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2000
|
|
6.128
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2001
|
|
6.204
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2002
|
|
6.281
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
6.358
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004
|
|
6.436
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2005
|
|
6.514
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2006
|
|
6.593
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2007
|
|
6.673
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2008
|
|
6.754
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2009
|
|
6.835
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010
|
|
6.93
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2011
|
|
7.013
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2012
|
|
7.098
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2013
|
|
7.182
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2014
|
|
7.266
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2015
|
|
7.349
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2016
|
|
|
|
7.433
|
|
7.441
|
|
7.425
|
|
7.436
|
|
7.424
|
|
7.43
|
|
7.433
|
2017
|
|
|
|
7.515
|
|
7.535
|
|
7.495
|
|
7.523
|
|
7.494
|
|
7.509
|
|
7.517
|
2018
|
|
|
|
7.597
|
|
7.632
|
|
7.563
|
|
7.611
|
|
7.561
|
|
7.587
|
|
7.601
|
2019
|
|
|
|
7.678
|
|
7.729
|
|
7.627
|
|
7.7
|
|
7.627
|
|
7.662
|
|
7.683
|
2020
|
|
|
|
7.758
|
|
7.828
|
|
7.689
|
|
7.789
|
|
7.692
|
|
7.736
|
|
7.766
|
2021
|
|
|
|
7.837
|
|
7.926
|
|
7.748
|
|
7.878
|
|
7.757
|
|
7.807
|
|
7.848
|
2022
|
|
|
|
7.915
|
|
8.025
|
|
7.805
|
|
7.967
|
|
7.823
|
|
7.877
|
|
7.929
|
2023
|
|
|
|
7.991
|
|
8.123
|
|
7.859
|
|
8.056
|
|
7.887
|
|
7.945
|
|
8.009
|
2024
|
|
|
|
8.067
|
|
8.223
|
|
7.911
|
|
8.146
|
|
7.951
|
|
8.011
|
|
8.089
|
2025
|
|
|
|
8.142
|
|
8.322
|
|
7.961
|
|
8.237
|
|
8.015
|
|
8.075
|
|
8.168
|
2026
|
|
|
|
8.215
|
|
8.423
|
|
8.008
|
|
8.328
|
|
8.077
|
|
8.137
|
|
8.247
|
2027
|
|
|
|
8.288
|
|
8.523
|
|
8.053
|
|
8.419
|
|
8.138
|
|
8.197
|
|
8.326
|
2028
|
|
|
|
8.36
|
|
8.623
|
|
8.096
|
|
8.511
|
|
8.198
|
|
8.256
|
|
8.404
|
2029
|
|
|
|
8.431
|
|
8.723
|
|
8.138
|
|
8.604
|
|
8.258
|
|
8.313
|
|
8.482
|
2030
|
|
|
|
8.501
|
|
8.822
|
|
8.18
|
|
8.698
|
|
8.317
|
|
8.368
|
|
8.559
|
2031
|
|
|
|
8.57
|
|
8.92
|
|
8.22
|
|
8.792
|
|
8.376
|
|
8.421
|
|
8.637
|
2032
|
|
|
|
8.638
|
|
9.017
|
|
8.26
|
|
8.887
|
|
8.433
|
|
8.472
|
|
8.714
|
2033
|
|
|
|
8.706
|
|
9.114
|
|
8.298
|
|
8.984
|
|
8.49
|
|
8.522
|
|
8.791
|
2034
|
|
|
|
8.773
|
|
9.21
|
|
8.336
|
|
9.081
|
|
8.545
|
|
8.57
|
|
8.868
|
2035
|
|
|
|
8.839
|
|
9.306
|
|
8.372
|
|
9.18
|
|
8.6
|
|
8.617
|
|
8.945
|
2036
|
|
|
|
8.904
|
|
9.402
|
|
8.407
|
|
9.28
|
|
8.654
|
|
8.662
|
|
9.022
|
2037
|
|
|
|
8.969
|
|
9.499
|
|
8.441
|
|
9.381
|
|
8.706
|
|
8.705
|
|
9.1
|
2038
|
|
|
|
9.032
|
|
9.595
|
|
8.473
|
|
9.484
|
|
8.758
|
|
8.746
|
|
9.178
|
2039
|
|
|
|
9.095
|
|
9.692
|
|
8.504
|
|
9.589
|
|
8.808
|
|
8.786
|
|
9.256
|
2040
|
|
|
|
9.157
|
|
9.789
|
|
8.532
|
|
9.695
|
|
8.857
|
|
8.823
|
|
9.335
|
2041
|
|
|
|
9.218
|
|
9.887
|
|
8.559
|
|
9.803
|
|
8.904
|
|
8.86
|
|
9.414
|
2042
|
|
|
|
9.279
|
|
9.986
|
|
8.584
|
|
9.913
|
|
8.951
|
|
8.894
|
|
9.494
|
2043
|
|
|
|
9.338
|
|
10.085
|
|
8.607
|
|
10.025
|
|
8.996
|
|
8.927
|
|
9.575
|
2044
|
|
|
|
9.396
|
|
10.185
|
|
8.628
|
|
10.139
|
|
9.04
|
|
8.958
|
|
9.656
|
2045
|
|
|
|
9.454
|
|
10.286
|
|
8.647
|
|
10.255
|
|
9.082
|
|
8.987
|
|
9.738
|
2046
|
|
|
|
9.51
|
|
10.388
|
|
8.664
|
|
10.373
|
|
9.124
|
|
9.014
|
|
9.821
|
2047
|
|
|
|
9.566
|
|
10.49
|
|
8.679
|
|
10.494
|
|
9.164
|
|
9.04
|
|
9.905
|
2048
|
|
|
|
9.62
|
|
10.593
|
|
8.691
|
|
10.617
|
|
9.204
|
|
9.063
|
|
9.991
|
2049
|
|
|
|
9.673
|
|
10.697
|
|
8.702
|
|
10.743
|
|
9.242
|
|
9.085
|
|
10.077
|
2050
|
|
|
|
9.725
|
|
10.801
|
|
8.71
|
|
10.872
|
|
9.279
|
|
9.106
|
|
10.165
|
2051
|
|
|
|
9.776
|
|
10.906
|
|
8.716
|
|
11.004
|
|
9.316
|
|
9.124
|
|
10.254
|
2052
|
|
|
|
9.826
|
|
11.011
|
|
8.72
|
|
11.138
|
|
9.351
|
|
9.141
|
|
10.345
|
2053
|
|
|
|
9.875
|
|
11.117
|
|
8.723
|
|
11.276
|
|
9.386
|
|
9.156
|
|
10.437
|
2054
|
|
|
|
9.922
|
|
11.223
|
|
8.723
|
|
11.418
|
|
9.419
|
|
9.169
|
|
10.531
|
2055
|
|
|
|
9.969
|
|
11.329
|
|
8.721
|
|
11.562
|
|
9.452
|
|
9.181
|
|
10.627
|
2056
|
|
|
|
10.014
|
|
11.435
|
|
8.717
|
|
11.711
|
|
9.483
|
|
9.191
|
|
10.725
|
2057
|
|
|
|
10.058
|
|
11.541
|
|
8.712
|
|
11.863
|
|
9.513
|
|
9.199
|
|
10.825
|
2058
|
|
|
|
10.101
|
|
11.647
|
|
8.705
|
|
12.019
|
|
9.543
|
|
9.206
|
|
10.928
|
2059
|
|
|
|
10.143
|
|
11.753
|
|
8.696
|
|
12.18
|
|
9.571
|
|
9.211
|
|
11.033
|
2060
|
|
|
|
10.184
|
|
11.859
|
|
8.686
|
|
12.345
|
|
9.598
|
|
9.215
|
|
11.14
|
2061
|
|
|
|
10.224
|
|
11.966
|
|
8.674
|
|
12.515
|
|
9.625
|
|
9.218
|
|
11.251
|
2062
|
|
|
|
10.263
|
|
12.072
|
|
8.661
|
|
12.69
|
|
9.651
|
|
9.219
|
|
11.364
|
2063
|
|
|
|
10.302
|
|
12.179
|
|
8.646
|
|
12.87
|
|
9.675
|
|
9.219
|
|
11.48
|
2064
|
|
|
|
10.339
|
|
12.285
|
|
8.63
|
|
13.055
|
|
9.699
|
|
9.218
|
|
11.599
|
2065
|
|
|
|
10.376
|
|
12.393
|
|
8.613
|
|
13.246
|
|
9.723
|
|
9.216
|
|
11.722
|
2066
|
|
|
|
10.412
|
|
12.5
|
|
8.595
|
|
13.443
|
|
9.745
|
|
9.212
|
|
11.848
|
2067
|
|
|
|
10.447
|
|
12.609
|
|
8.575
|
|
13.646
|
|
9.767
|
|
9.208
|
|
11.977
|
2068
|
|
|
|
10.481
|
|
12.718
|
|
8.554
|
|
13.856
|
|
9.789
|
|
9.202
|
|
12.111
|
2069
|
|
|
|
10.515
|
|
12.827
|
|
8.532
|
|
14.072
|
|
9.809
|
|
9.195
|
|
12.248
|
2070
|
|
|
|
10.548
|
|
12.937
|
|
8.508
|
|
14.295
|
|
9.829
|
|
9.188
|
|
12.389
|
2071
|
|
|
|
10.58
|
|
13.048
|
|
8.483
|
|
14.525
|
|
9.849
|
|
9.179
|
|
12.535
|
2072
|
|
|
|
10.612
|
|
13.16
|
|
8.457
|
|
14.763
|
|
9.868
|
|
9.17
|
|
12.685
|
2073
|
|
|
|
10.642
|
|
13.272
|
|
8.429
|
|
15.009
|
|
9.886
|
|
9.16
|
|
12.839
|
2074
|
|
|
|
10.672
|
|
13.386
|
|
8.4
|
|
15.262
|
|
9.904
|
|
9.149
|
|
12.998
|
2075
|
|
|
|
10.702
|
|
13.5
|
|
8.37
|
|
15.524
|
|
9.922
|
|
9.137
|
|
13.162
|
2076
|
|
|
|
10.73
|
|
13.615
|
|
8.339
|
|
15.794
|
|
9.939
|
|
9.124
|
|
13.331
|
2077
|
|
|
|
10.758
|
|
13.731
|
|
8.306
|
|
16.074
|
|
9.956
|
|
9.11
|
|
13.505
|
2078
|
|
|
|
10.785
|
|
13.847
|
|
8.272
|
|
16.363
|
|
9.972
|
|
9.096
|
|
13.684
|
2079
|
|
|
|
10.811
|
|
13.965
|
|
8.236
|
|
16.661
|
|
9.988
|
|
9.081
|
|
13.869
|
2080
|
|
|
|
10.837
|
|
14.083
|
|
8.2
|
|
16.97
|
|
10.004
|
|
9.065
|
|
14.06
|
2081
|
|
|
|
10.861
|
|
14.202
|
|
8.162
|
|
17.289
|
|
10.02
|
|
9.048
|
|
14.256
|
2082
|
|
|
|
10.885
|
|
14.322
|
|
8.123
|
|
17.619
|
|
10.036
|
|
9.031
|
|
14.459
|
2083
|
|
|
|
10.909
|
|
14.443
|
|
8.084
|
|
17.961
|
|
10.051
|
|
9.013
|
|
14.667
|
2084
|
|
|
|
10.931
|
|
14.564
|
|
8.043
|
|
18.314
|
|
10.066
|
|
8.994
|
|
14.882
|
2085
|
|
|
|
10.954
|
|
14.686
|
|
8.001
|
|
18.679
|
|
10.081
|
|
8.974
|
|
15.103
|
2086
|
|
|
|
10.975
|
|
14.809
|
|
7.958
|
|
19.058
|
|
10.096
|
|
8.953
|
|
15.331
|
2087
|
|
|
|
10.996
|
|
14.932
|
|
7.915
|
|
19.449
|
|
10.112
|
|
8.932
|
|
15.566
|
2088
|
|
|
|
11.016
|
|
15.056
|
|
7.871
|
|
19.854
|
|
10.127
|
|
8.909
|
|
15.808
|
2089
|
|
|
|
11.036
|
|
15.181
|
|
7.826
|
|
20.273
|
|
10.142
|
|
8.886
|
|
16.056
|
2090
|
|
|
|
11.055
|
|
15.306
|
|
7.781
|
|
20.707
|
|
10.157
|
|
8.862
|
|
16.312
|
2091
|
|
|
|
11.074
|
|
15.431
|
|
7.734
|
|
21.155
|
|
10.173
|
|
8.838
|
|
16.576
|
2092
|
|
|
|
11.092
|
|
15.557
|
|
7.688
|
|
21.62
|
|
10.188
|
|
8.812
|
|
16.848
|
2093
|
|
|
|
11.109
|
|
15.684
|
|
7.64
|
|
22.101
|
|
10.204
|
|
8.786
|
|
17.127
|
2094
|
|
|
|
11.126
|
|
15.81
|
|
7.592
|
|
22.598
|
|
10.219
|
|
8.759
|
|
17.414
|
2095
|
|
|
|
11.142
|
|
15.938
|
|
7.544
|
|
23.113
|
|
10.235
|
|
8.732
|
|
17.71
|
2096
|
|
|
|
11.158
|
|
16.065
|
|
7.495
|
|
23.645
|
|
10.251
|
|
8.703
|
|
18.015
|
2097
|
|
|
|
11.173
|
|
16.193
|
|
7.445
|
|
24.196
|
|
10.267
|
|
8.675
|
|
18.329
|
2098
|
|
|
|
11.187
|
|
16.321
|
|
7.395
|
|
24.767
|
|
10.283
|
|
8.645
|
|
18.652
|
2099
|
|
|
|
11.201
|
|
16.449
|
|
7.345
|
|
25.356
|
|
10.299
|
|
8.615
|
|
18.984
|
2100
|
|
|
|
11.213
|
|
16.577
|
|
7.294
|
|
25.967
|
|
10.314
|
|
8.585
|
|
19.326
|